Forex early warning

Agus Sihabuddin. Dedi Rosadi. Download PDF. A short summary of this paper. IntroductionThe fluctuation of foreign exchange trading is very interesting.

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This movement is influenced by many factors, such as economic, politic and social factors. These factors are well known as fundamental analysis. For some reason, sometimes this data can not be obtained or distributed evenly among investor or traders. Other approach to predict the fluctuation is by using technical analysis. For better presentation, this quotient is multiplied by Stochastic OscillatorThe Stochastic indicator developed by George Lane is designed to relate the difference between today's closing price and the period low with the trading range of the observation period.

The Stochastic quantifies the position of a price within the prevailing price range Person [4]. Analogously, a value of shows the closing price represents the highest value in the observation period. Stochastic values above 80 define an overbought condition, those below 20 an oversold condition. There are several ways of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator. Sell when the Oscillator rises above a specified level and then falls below this level.

MACDindicator is similiar with stocastic oscilator whose purpose is to identify overbought and oversold condition.

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The value is a range between 0 and The condition to buy and to sell is the same with stocastic oscilator. The value of EMV as computed below Investopedia [2]. This system combines several technical indicators which is converted first into -1 and 1, then a combination 3.


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Horizontal line between positive and negative MACD. The opening of the buying position can be function used to combine the indicators. Meanwhile, the opening of the selling position can be made when the trend is bearish, viz. In order to get a better signal from MACD analysis, a trial and error process to get a short XMA, long period, and trigger line period can be conducted. The decision function takes form in equation 6.

Opening posisition is used to chech whether a position can be done. Welles Wilder in This opening postion stage.

Before You Start Using the RSI Indicator - Fundamentals

This implementation is tested using strategy tester in Meta Trader platform by using expert advisor facility for back testing like in figure 4. The time frame used is for 15 minutes, one hour, and daily. Time interval for back testing is from January, 1, until August, 30, with every tick model data. The input parameter or period for the technical indicator is the default value. Figure 5. Automatic trading visualThe value of weighting for indicator is 0.

Forex Analysis Using Parallel and Inverse Pairs

The threshold value a by default is 0. The visual of the result is shown in figure 5 that is a snapshot for automatic trading. This is a chart from January 24 until January 30, The number of transaction decrease as the time frame increase. The percentage of buy and sell position opened increases as the time frame increases.

Forex Trend Reversal Mt4 Indicator

Tabel 2. Table 3. The average of winning trade increase if compared to 15 time frame above. Almost of all combinations gives negative profit or loss. It seems that this system is not suitable for this currency pair at 15 minutes time frame. Why Zacks? Learn to Be a Better Investor.

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Oil at the highs of the day

The Forex Heatmap is a tool that traders use to indicate the strength of a trend in a currency pair. It is coded in MQL4, which is the programming language used to code technical indicators and automated trading strategies for the MetaTrader 4 trading platform. The Forex Heatmap compares the strength of one currency against another currency using parallel and inverse analysis.

Parallel and inverse analysis use the two currencies you are looking to trade along with other currency pairs to ascertain whether the currency you are looking to buy or sell is strong or weak across the whole of the financial markets. If the analysis results in favor of your trade, it increases the likelihood of the trade being profitable. The Heatmap appears as a list of the 28 major currency pairs. The eight major currencies that are used to create these pairs are the U. Beside each currency pair the Heatmap assigns a colored box, the size and color of which represents the strength of the two currencies against each other.

There is also a percentage figure, which shows the percentage change in price of the currencies. When the Heatmap calculates that one currency in a pair is relatively strong against the other, while also being strong against the rest of the major currencies, it will issue a buy signal. The buy signal appears as a small green arrow next to the currency pair to which it relates on the Heatmap. When a buy signal is generated, this indicates that the currency in question is likely to strengthen further, and that by buying it, you possibly could profit from this strength.