Swing trade systems

It's not knowing when to buy, it's knowing when to sell. You might already intuitively know that. How many stocks have you held onto for too long? How many stocks do you currently have in your portfolio that are severely under water? Anecdotally, my brother once showed me his portfolio and it was full of losers!

I asked him why he didn't sell them, and he responded. Getting in is easy, getting out is hard. So how do we know when to sell out of our position in SPY once we bought the dip? We must wait for a rally. But what is a "rally"? How do we think like a computer to give it exact instructions? Well, let's use the inverse of how we defined a dip above. Let's ask the computer to tell us when SPY has made a close higher than the previous 19 days.

If this expression is true, it's time to sell SPY and most likely bank a nice profit.

• The Trend Is Your Friend.
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Okay, let's wrap these three simple ideas into a single swing trading system for SPY. Then let's plug it into the computer and see what happens. Computers don't lie to your face like the suits on Wall Street or internet grifters selling doom and gloom. But first, let's recap what we've put together so far in a visual form:. It's truly that simple, these swing trading systems rules are about as basic as they come.

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Now, let's look at how unbelievably powerful this little swing trading system is over time. Each of the green dots above signals a new equity high for this trading model. Incredible isn't it? This is the power of testing ideas before jumping headfirst into the market before you know what you are doing. You can see when SPY dips it's usually very profitable to be a buyer.

Can you believe such simple rules can time the stock market with such great odds? So next time you are about to make a trade, ask yourself if you truly know the odds of making or losing money. Because if you don't know the exact odds how do you even know how much money to risk?

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Even your financial adviser could, but I guarantee they have no idea how to even start. So, I implore you to take control and start testing your ideas before you risk another penny! Coming up with trading ideas and testing them is not hard. And if you are like me, you'll start to enjoy it. I'm Kurt the "Relaxed Trader" writing the stuff on this website. Feel free to ask me questions. I love talking to fellow traders that want to use computers to beat the stock market.

Shoot me an email: Kurt relaxedtrader. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The Trend Is Your Friend.

But of all the ideas I tested that I gleaned off internet forums or blowhards on TV, only one was true: "The trend is your friend. Only Buy Dips in up Trending Markets. Sell the Rally for a Profit.

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Let's looks at some example trades produced by this simple system:. Let's look at the statistics:. This is not rocket science. However, swing traders do not need perfect timing—to buy at the very bottom and sell at the very top of price oscillations—to make a profit. Small consistent earnings that involve strict money management rules can compound returns over time.

Risks in swing trading are commensurate with market speculation in general.

Risk of loss in swing trading typically increases in a trading range, or sideways price movement, as compared to a bull market or bear market that is clearly moving in a specific direction. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. International Review of Financial Analysis.

Change is the only Constant. Wiley Trading. ISBN CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list link. Financial markets. Primary market Secondary market Third market Fourth market.

Common stock Golden share Preferred stock Restricted stock Tracking stock. Authorised capital Issued shares Shares outstanding Treasury stock. Electronic communication network List of stock exchanges Trading hours Multilateral trading facility Over-the-counter.